Sunday, October 26, 2014

Again, Hoping for a Brighter European Future for Ukraine after Parliamentary Elections

Expressing in short order my unsolicited long distance reaction to Ukraine's parliamentary elections, it seems that Poroshenko's political bloc will be sharing power with Yatsenyuk's People's Front and, to a lesser degree, with the All-Ukrainian Fatherland Party of Tymoshenko.  Sadly, I must report that I know very little about the political positions of any of the parties involved, other than the fact that each is strongly committed to steering Ukraine in the direction of the EU (a position that I wholeheartedly embrace not only in the hopes that Ukrainian economic development will benefit from integration with Europe but also that the future prosperity of Ukraine will steer political perspectives within the Russian Federation away from confrontation and toward acquiescence in peaceful unity with Europe).  Having perused the webpage for the People's Front (http://nfront.org.ua/), I can confidently assert that I can neither speak nor read Ukrainian!  In this regard, it has been difficult to figure out, with any degree of confidence, what this party, whose popularity seems substantial and growing, actually stands for, with regard to economic policy, engagement with the EU, U.S., and the Russian Federation, and, perhaps most importantly, negotiation with pro-Russian groups in the eastern oblasts.  As such, I remain hopeful yet sceptical.  In my view, Ukraine, as a whole, certainly needs committed pro-European leadership in Kiev to drive the economic development of the country, over time, toward integration with the EU economies.  This is certainly the road toward peace and prosperity for Ukraine, and it is a direction that the EU and U.S. need to aggressively support.  On the other hand, I am still not sure where Donetsk, Lugansk, and Kharkiiv oblasts fit into this larger vision (I decline to say anything about Crimea - that is, rightly, a Russian issue!).  In my view, these oblasts need some degree of autonomy while, simultaneously, they might benefit from a continued engagement with Kiev.  In any case, the military conflict over these oblasts needs to end on terms mutually beneficial to parties representing the democratically expressed wishes of Ukrainian citizens (ethnic Ukrainians and ethnic Russians, alike) in the eastern oblasts and to the newly elected, pro-European parliament in Kiev.  I do not know how such a compromise is going to come about, but the fate of the country as a whole (minus Crimea) seems to hinge on it!

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